The Agentic Future (12.23.25): Predictions for 2026; AI Edition

✍️ substack 📅 2025-12-28 📝 10446 字 🌐 zh
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📋 摘要

AI正成為當前時代的定義性技術,預計2026年將出現突破性發展並推動大規模採用。去中心化AI(DeAI)市場份額本週維持在29%,總市值下跌6%至16億美元。機器人技術領域顯示復甦跡象,AUKI和GEODNET等已有收入的協議表現強勁。 2026年關鍵預測包括:代理商務將通過自主微支付獲得發展;預測AI將增強預測市場能力;簡單任務自動化將普及;去中心化機器人技術將增長10倍;AI協議將進入加密貨幣市值前十;DePIN將迎來輝煌時刻;Bittensor生態系統將出現突破性子網;隱私和驗證需求將推動加密貨幣回歸聚光燈下。 技術發展方面,x402 V2版本將演進互聯網原生微支付,過去30天支付額達5000萬美元。合成數據解決方案和"世界模型"將獲得關注,IP代幣化和GPU代幣化將滿足AI對算力的需求。Base預計將推出網絡代幣,專注於獎勵應用用戶。

📄 完整內容

The Agentic Future (12.23.25): Predictions for 2026; AI Edition
AI is the defining technology of this era. By 2026, rapid breakthroughs will push adoption to scale, creating a growing need for onchain verification in AI and robotics
Dec 23, 2025
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This Crypto AI newsletter consists of three parts:
Snippet Partner (
Khala Research
)
Market Overview
Emerging Developments
If you have any questions feel free to
reach out to me on X
This week’s partner is a little different — it’s my own research product,
Khala Research
, which will be launching in the new year.
I’ve set up the Khala Research X account for anyone who wants to follow along ahead of the first report (
link
).
If you’ve found my crypto × AI × robotics analysis in this newsletter and on X useful, Khala Research is a more strfuctured, in-depth extension of that work.
The first report will drop in early January and will focus on decentralised robotics — the convergence of crypto, AI, and robotics.
It’s a theme I believe will evolve into a major narrative heading into 2026.
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AI Roundup
Decentralized AI (“DeAI”) mindshare
has held steady at 29% this week
:
Source: Kaito via Nairolf
Robotics showing a resurgence as the segment features in several 2026 predictions.
a) DeAI Market Cap
The overall DeAI market cap is down $1.6B (-6%) this week, consistent with the choppy broader crypto price action:
Source: Coin Gecko
Beldex
(BDX)
once again stands out this week as the privacy narrative continues to be a focal point coming into 2026.
Bittensor (TAO)
sees a 17% sell off following its halving; a potential sell the news event as investors accumulated into the halving date last week. Could we see the forward looking supply crunch on emissions eventually catch up?
Note:
You’ll see below as part of my 2026 predictions that there will be several of the 128 subnets that hit mainstream adoption within their respective industries.
b) Robotics Market Cap
The Robotics market cap fell by $12m (-2%) to $742m this week:
Source: Coin Gecko
Despite the overall dip in market cap, there were a few protocols that bucked this trend;
AUKI
and
GEODNET
performed well this week, as those protocols already earning revenues seem to be more buoyant than the other market participants:
AUKI:
Auki uses posemesh tech with a view to creating the “real world web”. The latest 2025 recap highlighted a strong year & PMF whereby they signed its first
7-figure client this year
, and is likely to be one of the few crypto robotics entities that pushes into hardware.
GEODNET
: Similarly GEOD has seen QoQ growth with projected ARR in excess of $7m as it effectively monetizes its network of RTK geospatial stations around the globe.
c) 2026 Crypto AI & Robotics Predictions
Agentic Commerce
will continue to gain traction as x402 + ERC 8004 + Proof of agency enable trillions of autonomous micropayments
Prediction AI
will enhance its capabilities alongside the growth in prediction markets. My bet is on automated arbitrage strategies between platforms, or even automated market maker positions providing liquidity for retail to speculate on a broader set of markets. The earlier solutions will be indicators for opportunities, before the ability to automatically execute trades is rolled out broadly. Polymarket and Kalshi will no doubt launch their own app chains (including tokens).
Simplistic,
boring tasks will be automated
. Crypto smart contract audits or basic coding requirements will be done well. Once you have many single tasks being automated well, then you can layer in the collaborative element to enhance complete workflows.
Decentralized Robotics will 10x; I mean in both activity and capital flowing into this ecosystem. The entire industry segment is below a billion dollar market cap, and robotics is a mainstream focus. This is unlikely to be a focus on hardware given the capital constraints, but more likely the data.
Crypto (DePIN/DePAI) protocols will become very good at
modelling edge cases
by leveraging its distributed structure. Have individuals contribute a breadth of data that will plug the gaps for traditional AI models. Thus offering a useful revenue model for the expanding robotics industry.
An
AI protocol will reach the top 10 crypto tokens
by market cap. Yes that means one will be ahead of Cardano, god forbid. I suspect we will see multiple in the top 20 of which I anticipate one is yet to come to market.
DePIN will have its glory moment
. Many of these have been building distributed infrastructure for years and are beginning to see the benefits now. Take GEODNET as an example; continual quarter on quarter revenue growth - now up to $7m ARR. These protocols will compliment the robotics boom.
The
Bittensor Ecosystem will have several key breakout subnets
that find real product market fit. The value accrual of these commercial real word contracts will be dependent on how the team defines the split to token versus equity.
Crypto will return to the limelight through privacy and verification in an age of AI where data is proliferated artificially. Humans will
crave authenticity and privacy.
Tokenization of RWAs will ramp up significantly. The world will eventually come onchain, which includes
tokenization of GPUs
and Industrial power plants
to meet AI’s insatiable demand for compute and electricity.
Synthetic data solutions will become increasingly good with
“World Models”
catching the limelight. Real world data will be a shrinking portion of what
Neo Banks will integrate agentic solutions more deeply, whether this is through optimized swapping solutions or agentic payment rails to offer enhanced crypto products.
Tether will likely IPO
and further bolster its AI capabilities given Circle, VISA and Mastercard doubling down on agentic commerce.
Tokenization of IP
will click into place, bringing several recognizable NFTs back into the limelight as the
use of AI to proliferate an abundance of UGC
ushering a
whole new creator economy
Vibe coding tools
will level up significantly, enabling single person businesses to develop many products that compliment crypto independently or with minimal coding experience. Think drag and drop websites or custom user interfaces
Base will launch a network token
, with a focus on rewarding Base app users. My bet is this will be first out the gate after the Clarity Act goes through (tabled for January 2026). I suspect we will see all the stops pulled out to see this token hit top 10 by market cap — that means $10bn+
2. Crypto AI Agent Analysis
A) Nansen Smart Capital Flow Analysis
Nansen’s
smart net capital flows show several protocols with more than $150k:
Source: Nansen
The virtuals eco sees inflows with
PAYAI
and
REPPO
doing $400k of combined inflows as agentic commerce continues to ramp up its activity with the new iteration (version 2) of x402.
Coinbase highlights that x402 payments in the past 30 days have hit $50m
with PayAI the second largest facilitator behind Coinbase:
Source: x402scan
sUSDAI
sees more inflows to their AI (GPU) yield backed dollar as
the protocol partners with PayPal for PYUSD to become a settlement asset
3. AI Agents Developments: Innovations and Market Developments
Here are some other interesting Crypto AI related developments this week:
December 22nd:
Link
The following news is included:
David Sachs indicates a single national framework for AI
Vaneck suggests the AI bubble has already popped, but with a hard refresh before the next leg up?
Tether_to
Releases QVAC Genesis II, Expanding the World’s Largest Synthetic Educational Dataset to 148 Billion Tokens
gensynai
$AI
token sale concludes with 7,412 participants, $16M committed and $473M closing FDV
programmer
reveals
x402
V2 to evolve internet-native [agentic] micropayments with greater flexibility and power
a16z
released 17 crypto predictions for 2026, including “know your agent” and that we can now use AI for substantive research tasks. Proof of agency will become invaluable to differentiate the good and bad agents
Datavault AI Inc. (NASDAQ: DVLT) announced the issuance of two U.S. patents for blockchain-driven content licensing and tokenized monetization systems
FractionAI_xyz
goes live on the
base
app including all of its AI features with full functionality
Bitcoin miner “Hut 8” Executes $7B AI Datacenter Deal with Google Backstop
Waymo (autonomous vehicles) experience shutdown following recent power outage in the U.S. Tesla robo taxis keep their lights on
Solana
based DePIN project
fuseenergy
announced a $70M Series B funding round led by
lowercarbon
and
balderton
, valuing the company at $5B.
CheckCanopy
posts his first X message using his BCI
Neuralink
- things really are getting dystopian. Does sending emails from one neuralink to another count as telepathy?
openservai
published the SERV research paper on BRAID; their proprietary reasoning architecture; this included up to 122× cost efficiency + performance gains on frontier models (incl. GPT-5)
ambient_xyz
testnet went live with more demand than anticipated. Ambient is a PoW L1 supplying hyperscaled verified inference on a 600B+ parameter model, backed by a16z, Delphi and Amber group
ConsumerFi
goes live with its Season 2 rewards, including 100million
$CFI
with a focus on Intelligent Finance with
kinsuapp
as the main partner
PayPal
PYUSD Partners with
USDai_Official
for AI Infrastructure Financing
yieldseekerxyz
launches partnership with
merkl_xyz
for boosted 14-18% automated yields on your stables
AI-powered Web3 social and dating platform
metyacom
completed $50M strategic funding led by United Century United Holdings
NEARProtocol
token is now tradable on Solana shortly after
0xMert_
shows his support for NEAR
BioProtocol
releases a Shopify for research-backed health products
That’s a wrap for issue 156 of S4mmy’s Snippets. I hope you enjoyed it.
Please leave me any questions or thoughts here - I will respond to everyone!
If you found this interesting, please consider subscribing to this Substack and following me on
X
for more related insights.
Disclaimer:
The content covered in this newsletter is
not
to be considered investment or financial advice. It is for informational and educational purposes only.
I hold some of the assets and have partnerships with some of the projects mentioned in this newsletter.
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文檔 ID: d2d40d4f-0e70-48c4-aab9-605cdb85cafc
建立時間: 2025-12-28 15:33:28.951922
更新時間: 2025-12-28 15:33:28.951922